If drug price controls under consideration in the Senate had been enacted during the last decade, only 6 of 110 currently approved therapies would have made it to patients, says new analysis published today by Vital Transformation.
The legislation: The proposed Build Back Better Act—yesterday renamed the Inflation Reduction Act and packaged with climate and tax legislation—would enact price controls on the drugs on which Medicare spends the most, if they lack generic equivalents. The bill would regulate 20 drugs by 2029.
The 20 drugs likely to be hit with price controls are produced by 12 companies—which have invested more than $588 billion in R&D over the last 10 years, says Vital Transformation.
If price controls had been in place between 2012-2021, only six of 110 drugs developed by these 12 companies would have made it to market, as drugs with less than 50% probability of market entry would not be considered.
Why? Because six of the 12 companies would see net earnings drop by more than 70%, and three would see 100% of earnings disappear, finds the analysis—meaning companies would not have the necessary funds to invest in R&D and partnerships with small biotech.
Price controls would also cut jobs—more than 590,000 U.S. biopharma jobs in 2031.
We’ve seen this happen in Europe: EU price controls show a 10% drop in drug prices yields a 14% drop in venture capital, the analysis explains.
BIO’s take: The legislation “would drastically reduce critical investment in innovative therapies and cures that patients depend on, at a time when smaller biotech companies are facing tremendous pressure in the capital markets,” says Nick Shipley, BIO EVP and Chief Advocacy Officer. “The consequences will all but ensure that many potential groundbreaking cures die in labs. Patients, as a result, will be ill-equipped to combat a variety of debilitating illnesses with the scientific solutions that could significantly improve—or even save—their lives.”